June 6 1976
The annual Kane Lecture, organised by the RDS, was delivered on
May 19 at UCD (Belfield) by Martin J Cranley, Director General of the
IIRS.
This constitutes a useful and important summary of the Irish
natural resources position, viewed from the angle those who wish to
maintain native control over their exploitation. What follows is a
summary of the highlights.
Sir Robert Kane(32) was born in 1809, published his first
scientific paper in 1828 and in 1829 discovered a mineral, named Kaneite after
him, manganese arsenide. He published 'The Elements of Practical
Pharmacy' in 1831 and was elected to membership of the RIA at the age
of 22. He went to TCD but was so busy doing real science that he only
got a pass BA. In 1833 he discovered the ethyl radical and published
his findings, anticipating Liebig by a year. In 1834 he became RDS
Lecturer in Natural Philosophy; in this capacity he was commissioned
to to produce an account of the state of manufacturing industry in
Ireland and to ascertain the most desirable methods of 'applying
natural forces to the development of mechanic power'. This led
eventually in 1844 to the publication of his classic 'Industrial
Resources of Ireland'. In the meantime he had published in 1842 'The
Elements of Chemistry' which became an international success and a
standard textbook in the US.
He was responsible for the establishment of higher education in
technology in Ireland, becoming Dean in 1865 of the RoyalCollege of
Science. He became president of the RIA in 1877 and died in 1890.
The national economic optimism which pervades the 440 pages of
the 'Industrial Rosources of Ireland' was however killed by the
potato-crop failure of 1845-7 and the consequent mass-emigration which
took away, with the people, the potential home market for Irish
manufactures.
We are now again at the beginning of a population-explosion, with
implied buoyant home-market; it is appropriate that we should begin
to re-discover the philosophy and attitudes of Kane and adapt them to
the contemporary environment. This Martin Cranley's Kane Lecture can
help us to do. Indeed, this time the timing is perhaps healthier;
Kane's book arrived too late to have enough influence to negate the
effect of the potato-blight. The population-explosion was well
advanced, the numbers having doubled in the previous half-century. At
present we have the beginnings of a population up-swing, with an
unprecedentedly large and well-educated population under 20. A
re-discovery of Kane at this time is therefore timed better than was
Kane's original book. We also.have a sovereign democratic State,
which can respond to pressure. Kane, to succeed, would have had to
depend on the Young Irelanders to create one.
Cranley summarises Kanes book by giving the chapter-headings:
fuel, power, geology and minerals, agriculture, communications and the
labour force. Under the latter heading he quotes: '..the lack of
skilled labour, the need for labour stability, the supposed lack of
capital, the need for industrial knowledge and industrial education..'
Cranley goes on to produce a 'neo-Kaneist inventory of the
relevant resources today. Under the heading 'Minerals and Mining', as
well as giving details of grades and known reserves, Cranley stresses
that real job generation in this sector can come only from downstream
manufacturing industry. Even with a smelter in production, there is
no guarantee that die-casting, galvanising or brass-making will
follow; these have to be planned for intheir own right. Cranley
calls for the establishment of a National Minerals Intelligence Unit,
at a high professional level, a repository of data on characteristics
and industrial applications of native minerals. Such a unit could
guide State policy froma position of independence from the
multinational rings which dominate the world markets.
Cranley goes on in his inventory to cover forests, fisheries,
fresh water and energy sources.
By the end of the century 8% of the country will be forested,
compared to 1% on 1920. By the year 2000. Ireland should be a net
exported of timber, the output being up five-fold. The energy crisis
has transformed utterly the value of wood. The energy input required
to produce a ton of aluminium is 300 times that required to produce a
ton of wood.
On the food industry, Martin Cranley...refers to an important
paper by Dr W K Downey and Dr M J Brennan which was presented to the
Institute of Food Science and Technology on May 4 of this year. The
highlights were noted on this feature on June 6. The placing of
the Downey-Brennan paper by Cranley in the prestigeous Kane Lecture
represents a welcome closing of the ranks, a development of a united
political demand right across the spectrum of Irish technology, for
more investment into the scientific study of our most basic native
resource.
On sea fisheries, Cranley comes up with an aggressive and sound
approach to their development. It is simply that Ireland becomes the
factory-ship of Europe. Continent-based long-range fishing-vessels
are economic nonsense. The whole fish stock of the Western shelf
should be exploited by fleets based at the nearest land-point, which
is Ireland, and the harvest appropriately packed, processed and/or
chilled and distributed by rapid surface transport to all points in
Europe. This is the concept that Iceland held out for, and won.
The spirit pervading the 1976 Kane lecture is positive and
optimistic. It conveys, for the first time in the Kane lecture
series, a feeling of confidence that we are technologically fit to to
develop the economy to meet the demands of our expanding population,
expressed in a buoyant home market. Let us see to it that by
well-directed work this 'spring' is not betrayed by a modern analogue
of the Famine.
August 10 1976
I note with interest that the annual Kane lecture by Martin J
Cranlet summarised in this column on July 6 generated as a result of
the publicity no less than 50 requests for copies. It is currently
being published in Administration, the IPA periodical.
An aspect I missed in the July 6 summary was the question of
'Europe+30', the EEC long-term planning excercise. Cranley made the
point that, were this to be implemented, we have no corresponding unit
at the national level to associate with it: can we not have at least
somewhere an 'Ireland+5' unit, as a step towards 'Europe+30'?
This very point was echoed by Professor Colm O h-Eocha in a
lecture tothe Summer School of the ICTU at Wexford on July 22....
The Europe+30 excercise involved an attempt to sketch scenarios
for thirty years hence, using such sociological and economic insights
as were available to a team of 26 experts. No-one from Ireland
participated at the working level. The working team was supervised by
a board of 19 members, including one Irish participant, Senator Mary
Robinson, who was there at the personal invitation of the Chairman of
the Board, Lord Kennet.
In other words, the Irish scientific and technological
establishment is so weak in its external linkages and international
awareness that it missed the opportunity of participating actively in
the development of a long-term plan for the economic community of
which we are supposed to be a member. I welcome the fact that Cranley
and O h-Eocha have now placed the matter officially on the agenda(33).
I remember hearing of Europe+30 about a year ago; I made a few
telephone calls to try to track down the centre of responsibility. I
found none. So we have a tabula rasa situation, without institutional
vested interests, although with little imagination one can see the
Institutes jockeying for position. Before the entrenchments are dug,
let me therefore put in a plea for a flexible project-type sructure,
rather than a unit within an existing body.
Let me be more specific: what we need is a steering committee
representing existing political and institutional interests (all major
bodies with long-term research and development responsibilities), a
Director who will be the full-time co-ordinator of the work of others,
and a working team consisting of existing Research Institute staffs
and academics on secondment to the project, with associated junior
assistance as necessary recruited for the purpose. The disciplines
involved would include the sciences, engineering, agriculture,
economics, sociology, education. A key unifying problem would be the
energy question.
With such a team in existence, we as a nation would be in a
position to contribute more to European long-term planning than the
presence of one lady barrister-politician on the Board (not wishing to
belittle the talent and energy of the lady in question!).
September 14 1976
It is now two years since the Minister for Industry and Commerce
announced the forthcoming establishment of a National Board for
Science and Technology, to take over the functions of the present NSC.
The Bill, entitled National Board for Science and Technology Bill
(1976), is now available and presumably will come up for enactment in
the next session, if the Government survives the aftermath of the
present emergency debate.
One of the positive consequeces of the Bill (if enacted) is to
provide for an explicit Science Budget, to be placed each year before
the Oireachtas for debate. This places science squarely in the public
arena in its own right, upgrading it from its present status as a very
minor item in the Departmental budget of Industry and Commerce.
There is however no mention of the Cabinet Committee of the
principal Ministries which are users of science and technology; this
formed part of the original announcement. Thus if for policy reasons
it becomes necessary to set up such a Committee (eg if there were a
real emergency, with regard to energy supply, or a war) there would be
no statutory means of communicating with the Board, which could go its
own sweet way irrespective of the emergency needs.
The momentum of statutary bodies and their ability to ignore a
changing environment is notable. There springs to mind the God-sent
opportunity for studying the effect of traffic-density on public
transport punctuality and service level which presented itself on the
occasion of the 1973 petrol crisis. Everyone was remarking what a
pleasure it was to go by bus, and how punctial the service was. I
made a strong attempt to interest Foras Forbartha in setting up a
statistical experiment to measure this, with implications that are
absolutely basic to all urban planning decisions, including the
controversial motorway proposals.
I could arouse no interest whatever; the existing experimental
programmes were being worked according to plan. Nothing would shake
them, despite the visible crumbling of the environmental assumptions
on which their experimental stratgy was based.
A somewhat similar situation exists in AFT, which appears to be
impervious to the early warning signals of the collapse of the EEC
Common Agricultural Policy, remaining glued to a philosophy of
low-cost production of a product of variable quality (largely
dependent on selling to Intervention) in an annual cyclic pattern such
as to suit the convenience of the producers, without proper regard for
the market or for the opportunities presented by an upgrading of
quality.
I bring in these examples in order to illustrate the need for a
political feedback-loop in science policy development. This loop will
now exist embryonically in the Science Budget, albeit with a slow
response-time, and with the high noise-level associated with a Dail
debate. A Cabinet Committee would have provided a lever useful for
situations where diversion of resources was necessary in the national
interests between Budgets, provided of course that the Government knew
what it was doing. The absence of such a level, in situations where
the Government does not know what it is doing, and where any
interference would probably be for the worse, is therefore unlikely to
be mourned by the scientific community.
It is provided that the Board may accept payment for services..
so that it cna become a financially autonomous contract research
body..
The bad tradition of leaving all the nominations to the Minister
is perpetuated. This also holds for the IIRS, but not for AFT, which
is partially democratic in that it has representatives of the producer
organisations on its Board. This, of course, helps to explain the
bias of the research policy of the latter. It is apity that the
consumer lobby is not better organised, and that the principle of
worker representation os not given a chance in the new structure.
It could be argued that until the interests of the workers,
consumers and suppliers are represented by organised democratic
lobbies relating to a particular function, the machinery for
establishing proper feedback-loops for a system such as the NBST will
not exist, and that there is no alternative to a Ministerial
nomination procedure. A far-sighted Minister could nominate bearing
in mind the need to balance these forces. The 'suppliers' inthis case
are the Universities and Colleges of Technology. If the new Board
were to be dominated by the suppliers (as is AFT), the emerging
science policy would be geared to taking up the present supply of
graduates, irrespective of quality and composition, and irrespective
of the market. This would be a disastrous perpetuation of current
inertia.
Domination by consumers would be equally disastrous, as there is
little evidence that the main consumers of technology in Ireland have
any clear idea of their long-term needs (with a few honorable
exceptions).
The only real source of insight, such as to lead to an enlightened
Board, is to be found among those working scientists and technologists
who have some industrial experience. If these were to form the core
of the Board, and the suppliers and consumers were to be selected to
complement them, then we might be able to look forward to some
positive developments.
CONCLUSION
We must leave to the reader's own judgment whether the situation
has improved or otherwise since the NBST was founded finally in 1978.
The writer's association with these events in the capacity of
articulate observer ceased towards the end of 1976; he became a
participant, developing the work of the TCD Applied Research
Consultancy Group. This episode will, hopefully, form one of a number
of case-studies for whoever writes the history of science and
technology in Ireland in the first decade of the NBST.
NOTES